韩国戒严事件余波未平：“审判风暴”即将来临，经济缓过劲儿了吗

Economic Outlook - The Bank of Korea has raised its GDP growth forecasts for 2025 and 2026 to 1% and 1.8% respectively [1][6] - The economic growth rate for South Korea in 2024 is projected at 2%, which is below expectations [4] - The first quarter of this year saw a GDP contraction of 0.1%, marking the first decline since Q4 2020 [4] - The second quarter showed a GDP growth of 0.7% quarter-on-quarter, with a year-on-year growth rate expanding by 0.6 percentage points [5] Political Context - The political landscape in South Korea remains turbulent, with former President Yoon Suk-yeol facing multiple legal challenges, including charges of insurrection and obstruction of justice [2][3] - Public sentiment towards Yoon is notably negative, with a Gallup Korea poll indicating a 77% disapproval rating, making him the "worst former president in South Korean history" [2] - The political division in South Korea persists, with differing perceptions of the emergency martial law incident among supporters of various political parties [3] Sector Performance - The manufacturing sector showed resilience in Q2, with a 2.5% quarter-on-quarter growth, driven by the computer, electronics, and optical equipment industries [5] - The semiconductor and display industries continue to be key drivers of South Korea's export strength, with a 16.5% year-on-year output growth in Q3 [5][6] - The government's economic measures, including support for AI, biotechnology, and cultural industries, aim to stabilize the economy [5]