今年10万亿元地方政府债券资金花哪儿了?|财税益侃
Di Yi Cai Jing·2025-12-04 13:12

Core Viewpoint - The issuance of local government bonds in China has reached a historic high this year, with a significant portion of the funds allocated for debt repayment rather than new projects [2][3]. Group 1: Local Government Bond Issuance - In the first 11 months of this year, approximately 10 trillion yuan of local government bonds were issued, surpassing last year's total of about 9.8 trillion yuan [2]. - The issuance of refinancing bonds accounted for about 4.8 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of approximately 20%, while new bond issuance was about 5.2 trillion yuan, up about 11% year-on-year [2][3]. - Approximately 62% of the bond funds issued were used for repaying old debts, including refinancing existing hidden debts and settling overdue payments to enterprises [3][6]. Group 2: Allocation of Funds - Of the funds allocated for project construction, about 27% was directed towards municipal and industrial park infrastructure, 17% towards transportation infrastructure, and 12% towards affordable housing projects [6]. - This year, the scope of special bonds has significantly expanded, allowing for allocations towards land reserves, which previously were restricted, with over 500 billion yuan directed to such projects [6]. - Special bonds have also been allocated for government investment funds, exceeding 80 billion yuan, aimed at supporting early-stage technology enterprises and hard technology sectors [6]. Group 3: Debt Management and Risks - As of September 2025, the total local government debt is projected to be around 53.7 trillion yuan, remaining within the limit of approximately 57.9 trillion yuan [8]. - The average remaining maturity of local government bonds is 10.5 years, with an average interest rate of 2.86% [8]. - There is a need for careful management of local government debt growth to ensure long-term fiscal sustainability, with suggestions to optimize the debt structure between central and local governments [8].