瑞士经济联合会：出口承压将拖累瑞士2026年经济增长

Core Viewpoint - The Swiss Economic Association indicates that significant uncertainties affecting global markets and protectionist measures by certain countries are putting pressure on Switzerland's export-oriented economy, which will drag down economic growth in the coming year [1]. Economic Growth Forecast - The Swiss Economic Association predicts that Switzerland's real GDP growth will reach 1.2% in 2025 but will slow to 1.0% in 2026, remaining below its potential level [1]. - It is forecasted that in 2026, the overseas sales of the technology sector, watchmaking industry, textile industry, chemicals, and export-oriented food sectors will decline [1]. Employment Market Impact - The slowdown in economic growth is expected to affect the job market, with a slight easing of labor shortages anticipated [1]. - The unemployment rate is projected to rise from 2.8% this year to 3.0% in 2026 [1]. Inflation Rate - Inflation is expected to remain low, with an average annual inflation rate of 0.4% projected for 2026 [1].