磷酸铁锂行业头部企业酝酿调价

Core Insights - The lithium iron phosphate (LFP) industry is experiencing a price increase due to downstream demand and the industry's "anti-involution" initiative, with leading companies planning to raise processing fees by 3,000 yuan/ton starting in 2026 [1][2] - 2025 is identified as a pivotal year for the LFP industry, characterized by explosive demand growth contrasted with structural supply-side contradictions, leading to a unique high-growth, low-profit scenario [1][3] - The industry is moving towards a new phase focused on technology and value, as the "anti-involution" initiative takes effect, improving the supply-demand landscape and overall industry outlook [1][3] Industry Trends - The demand for lithium iron phosphate has been rising due to the booming electric vehicle and energy storage sectors, but significant capacity increases and lithium resource price volatility have resulted in low capacity utilization and profit disparities among companies [1][2] - From January to October 2025, China's LFP production reached 2.7099 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 57.8%, yet this expansion did not lead to overall profitability improvements for the industry [1][2] - The China Chemical and Physical Power Industry Association has initiated measures to promote sustainable development in the LFP industry, including resisting vicious price competition and enhancing supply chain ecology [2] Cost and Pricing Dynamics - The average cost range for LFP materials, based on a study, is estimated between 15,714.8 yuan/ton and 16,439.3 yuan/ton (excluding tax), providing a reference for companies in setting prices [2] - Recent price increases by LFP companies are seen as a strategic move to escape price wars and return to value-based competition [2][3] - If processing fees rise by 3,000 yuan/ton in 2026, the average gross margin for LFP could increase to 7.5%, significantly improving profitability for companies [3] Capacity and Technological Advancements - Advanced production capacity in the LFP industry is expanding, with companies like Beijing Easpring Material Technology Co., Ltd. accelerating the development of high-density LFP products [3] - Sichuan Development Longmang Co., Ltd. announced plans for a 175,000-ton high-density LFP project, indicating a positive market demand and a trend towards industry consolidation and technological upgrades [3] - The supply side is expected to see high-end capacity expansion while low-end capacity is phased out, with sustained demand growth from power batteries and energy storage systems driving the industry forward [3]