Euronet Worldwide, Inc. (EEFT): A Bull Case Theory

Core Thesis - Euronet Worldwide, Inc. (EEFT) is facing challenges but maintains a bullish outlook due to diversified remittance corridors, fintech transition, margin expansion, and compelling valuation despite recent market pressures [2][6][7] Financial Performance - As of November 28th, EEFT's share price was $74.09, with trailing and forward P/E ratios at 10.83 and 6.67 respectively [1] - The company experienced a revenue miss in Q3 2025, leading to a decline in share price into the $70s, attributed to short-seller pressure [2][3] - EPS guidance has been reaffirmed, indicating continued bottom-line strength despite slower top-line growth [2] Challenges - Q3 2025 revealed significant headwinds, particularly in Money Transfer due to stricter U.S. immigration enforcement and reduced low-income consumer activity [3] - ePay faced a decline after exiting a low-value top-up product, and overall margins softened due to inflation impacting travel budgets [3] Positive Developments - October Money Transfer trends showed improvement, suggesting that headwinds may be transitory [4] - New partnerships, including Heritage Grocers and a major Dandelion–Citibank integration, indicate strengthening competitive positioning [4] - Digital remittances grew by 32% year-over-year, with REN posting approximately 40% growth and software-like margins [4] Future Outlook - The updated model predicts moderated FY25 revenue but accelerating growth into FY26–FY27, supported by REN, CCRD, digital mix gains, and ongoing ATM outsourcing [5] - EPS growth is expected to remain strong due to margin expansion and buybacks, with EEFT appearing undervalued at 10.6x GAAP EPS relative to its durable earnings power [5]