Target Corporation (TGT): A Bull Case Theory

Core Thesis - Target Corporation is at a critical inflection point, presenting a compelling bullish case for investors focusing on strategic transformation and technology-led growth [2][4] Financial Performance - As of November 28th, Target's share was trading at $90.62, with trailing and forward P/E ratios of 10.98 and 11.48 respectively [1] - Gross margins have slipped to 28.2%, and comparable sales have fallen by 2.7%, indicating short-term headwinds [3] - Advertising revenue surged by 44%, and the Target Plus marketplace grew nearly 50%, showcasing the potential of digital and media initiatives [3] Strategic Initiatives - The appointment of Michael Fiddelke as CEO is expected to drive a turnaround, with plans for a $5 billion investment in store remodels, supply-chain upgrades, and technology [3] - Key initiatives include AI-powered merchandising, inventory management, and conversational commerce via ChatGPT [3][4] - The focus is on restoring design-led merchandising authority, enhancing guest experience, and accelerating digital engagement [4] Market Position - Target operates nearly 2,000 U.S. stores and has a growing e-commerce presence, with fulfillment services accounting for over a third of digital sales, which grew over 35% in Q3 2025 [2] - The company's assets are considered undervalued relative to peers, trading at a significant discount to its historical forward multiple [4] - If the CEO successfully executes the strategy, Target could see a meaningful rerating, making it a high-conviction opportunity for investors [4][6]