Core Insights - Uber Technologies, Inc. has seen a recent increase in market value due to the introduction of Avride robotaxis in Dallas, with stock rising 4% in the past five sessions, although it remains down approximately 10% since early October [1][2] - The stock is facing challenges from broader technology sector jitters and consumer pessimism about the economy, which could negatively impact ride-hailing demand [2][3] Price Action and Projections - Using advanced methodologies, the forward 10-week returns for UBER stock are projected to range between $89 and $95.20, with price clustering likely at $91 [8][11] - The analysis indicates that starting from $92, the probability density of price increases declines sharply, with a 31.25% drop between $92 and $93, 77.73% between $93 and $94, and 98% from $94 to $95 [12][13] Options Trading Strategies - A conservative options strategy could involve a 90.00/92.50 bull call spread, requiring UBER stock to rise above $92.50 at expiration, with a maximum payout of 85.19% [14] - A more aggressive strategy could be a 90/95 bull spread, with a breakeven price at $92.25, aiming for a maximum payout of over 122% if the stock exceeds $95 at expiration [17][19]
Options Corner: Why Uber Technologies Stock's Risk Geometry Backs A More Aggressive Trade - Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER)