英镑GBPUSD风暴来袭：PMI暴崩、企业停招裁员加速，英国央行面临政策极限

Group 1 - UK businesses expect a slight increase in price expectations, with an average anticipated rise of 3.7% over the next year, up by 0.1% from the previous month [1] - Employment outlook has weakened, with a decrease of 0.1% to -0.2% over the last three months, indicating plans for a modest reduction in workforce [1] - Consumer price inflation expectations remain stable at 3.4%, while actual inflation has decreased to 3.6%, suggesting a potential peak in inflation and supporting the case for a future rate cut from the current 4% [1] Group 2 - The UK energy regulator Ofgem has approved a £28 billion investment plan over five years, which will increase annual energy bills for consumers by an average of £108 [3] - This investment is aimed at ensuring the security and reliability of the future energy system, despite previous government commitments to lower energy prices [3][4] - Major energy infrastructure companies have welcomed the decision, recognizing the need for significant investment to double electricity transport capacity [4] Group 3 - Concerns over tax adjustments in the upcoming budget have led to a historic sell-off in UK stock funds, with net outflows reaching £3 billion in November, marking the longest streak of outflows on record [5] - The total net outflow over the past six months has reached £10.4 billion, reflecting investor anxiety regarding potential cuts to investment tax incentives [5] - Following the announcement of the budget, which included some tax increases but not as severe as feared, there was a notable reversal in fund flows, indicating a recovery in investor sentiment [5] Group 4 - The UK construction sector has experienced its fastest contraction since May 2020, with the PMI dropping from 44.1 to 39.4, indicating a prolonged downturn [6] - All major sectors within construction, including civil engineering, residential, and commercial building, have shown significant declines, with residential activity hitting its lowest level since May 2020 [6][7] - The decline in construction activity is attributed to weak client confidence and a lack of new project starts, exacerbated by uncertainty surrounding the budget announcement [6][7] Group 5 - The overall PMI for services, manufacturing, and construction in November was 50.1, down from 51.4 in October, indicating a weakening economic momentum in the UK [8] - The construction industry's employment index has fallen to its lowest level since August 2020, with companies citing high wage costs and reduced workloads as contributing factors [7][8]