如何解决人民币“不匹配”问题？刘世锦：大幅增加离岸人民币数量，加快人民币国际化进程

Core Insights - The "Southern Finance Forum 2025" held in Guangzhou focuses on the theme "The Power of Consensus - Innovation Surge, China's Asset Revaluation" [1][7] Economic Advantages - China has three major economic advantages: 1. Catch-up potential, which includes upgrading consumption structures and transforming traditional manufacturing and agriculture [3][9] 2. New technological revolution focused on digital and green technologies [3][9] 3. Super-large market economy, emphasizing the potential of 9 billion low-income individuals transitioning to the middle-income group, creating a larger consumer market [3][10] Strategic Goals - China aims to implement strategies to become a manufacturing powerhouse, a consumer powerhouse, and a financial powerhouse. The manufacturing goal is to cultivate leading large-scale innovative enterprises, while the consumer goal is to become the largest global consumer market. The financial goal is to support the other two objectives, as finance acts as a bridge [3][10] Financial Development - High-quality development requires a strong capital market and robust currency. Financial services should focus on selecting viable projects that enhance resource allocation efficiency [3][10] Currency and Internationalization - The importance of a strong currency is highlighted, with historical examples of the British pound and the US dollar being tied to strong economic and financial systems. Currently, China's GDP accounts for 18% of the global economy, with manufacturing at 30%, but its currency functions are below 10% [4][11] - To address the mismatch between economic strength and currency function, China aims to significantly increase the offshore RMB supply and promote its international use [4][11] Trade Strategy - China's trade strategy needs adjustment to balance imports and exports while using RMB for settlements. For instance, last year's trade surplus was nearly $1 trillion, which could be redirected towards imports paid in RMB, potentially generating over 7 trillion RMB in offshore currency [5][12] - The goal is to enhance the offshore RMB ecosystem, including bonds, stocks, and derivatives, to improve liquidity and facilitate the RMB's internationalization [5][12]