12月5日白银晚评:降息命运今夜揭晓 白银巨震埋伏笔
Jin Tou Wang·2025-12-05 09:35

Core Viewpoint - The silver market is currently influenced by the upcoming U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index data, which could impact interest rate expectations and silver prices significantly [1][3]. Market Overview - As of December 5, the silver price is trading at $58.25 per ounce, with a daily range between $56.85 and $58.51 [2][1]. - The U.S. dollar index is around 98.90, indicating a stable dollar environment [1]. Economic Indicators - Despite strong U.S. employment data, with a 53% decrease in planned layoffs and initial jobless claims at a three-year low, there remains an 85% expectation for a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December [3]. - The PCE data, a key inflation indicator for the Fed, is set to be released, and its outcome could either reinforce or alter the current rate cut expectations [3]. Technical Analysis - The silver market shows early signs of fatigue, with a bearish divergence between silver prices and the Relative Strength Index (RSI), suggesting a cooling of upward momentum [4]. - Key support for silver is identified at $55.00; a decisive break below this level could lead to further declines towards $50.00 [4]. - On the upside, if silver prices break through the historical high of $58.98, it could target $60.00, supported by a strengthening trend indicated by the Average Directional Index (ADX) at 28.56 [5].