关键数据来了,黄金静待破局!
Jin Tou Wang·2025-12-05 11:16

Group 1: Gold Market - Spot gold experienced a slight increase of 0.13%, with a low of $4,175 and a rebound to a high of $4,219, closing at $4,208.60 [1] - Currently, gold is trading around $4,218 in the European market [1] Group 2: U.S. Labor Market and Federal Reserve - The U.S. Labor Department reported a decrease of 27,000 in initial jobless claims to 191,000, the lowest level in over three years, below the expected 220,000 [3] - The number of continuing claims remains above 1.9 million, indicating structural pressures in the labor market [4] - Revelio Labs reported a decrease of 9,000 in non-farm payrolls for November, with October's data revised to a loss of 15,500 jobs, leading traders to bet on further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [5] - Goldman Sachs indicated that the labor market is showing signs of cooling, with a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed in December being highly likely [5][6] - The next Federal Reserve meeting is scheduled for December 9-10, with an 87% probability of a 25 basis point cut [6] Group 3: Inflation Data and Market Outlook - The upcoming PCE inflation data is considered crucial, with expectations for core PCE to rise by 0.2% and maintain an annual rate close to 3% [7] - A stable inflation reading would suggest "inflation is stable," while a higher reading could lead to a market re-evaluation [7] - The outlook for the stock market suggests a lower risk of a tech bubble burst compared to 2000, but emphasizes the need for balanced asset allocation to mitigate potential risks [7] Group 4: Military Developments - The Iranian Revolutionary Guard conducted military exercises in the Persian Gulf, showcasing new defense and offensive capabilities, including AI technology for target identification [8] - The U.S. Central Command announced the formation of a squadron of one-way attack drones in the Middle East, based on the Iranian "Witness-136" drone [10] - The U.S. military conducted an attack on a vessel in the Eastern Pacific, resulting in four fatalities, as part of a broader anti-drug operation in the region [11][12]