FPG财盛国际:比特币震荡整理 山寨币或迎机遇

Group 1 - The digital asset market is currently experiencing significant volatility, with Bitcoin expected to remain below $95,000 before the end of the year due to decreased liquidity in December [1][4] - Bitcoin fell to approximately $92,000 on December 4, erasing gains from the previous night when it reached $94,000, while Ethereum (ETH) remained stable above $3,100 [1][5] - Altcoins such as XRP, HBAR, BCH, and Zcash experienced declines of 4% to 5%, and the broader CoinDesk 20 index dropped by about 2% [1][4] Group 2 - Despite the overall market volatility, Bitcoin is still above the support level of approximately $85,000 established earlier in the week, indicating a stabilizing market sentiment [2][5] - The expectation is for Bitcoin to trade within a range of $85,000 to $95,000, with altcoins potentially benefiting from capital diversion in a low liquidity, high volatility environment [2][5] - Investors are advised to focus on these volatility opportunities, particularly as risk appetite increases, making altcoins a potential highlight for short-term allocation [2][5] Group 3 - On a macro level, the market is closely monitoring central bank policies, especially the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan, with the latter's interest rate decision being a key event this month [3][6] - If the Bank of Japan maintains its interest rates, it could boost demand for risk assets, providing support for stocks, Bitcoin, and gold [3][6] - As the year-end approaches, the market may experience short-term capital disturbances and amplified volatility, suggesting that altcoins could exhibit unexpected fluctuations [3][6]