2 Recession-Proof Stocks to Watch in December

Economic Overview - The economy is facing significant uncertainty as 2025 approaches, with a projected 93% chance of a recession according to UBS [1] - Despite advancements in technologies like generative AI boosting GDP growth, consumers are struggling with rising prices and a softening job market [1] Defensive Stocks - Economic downturns typically negatively impact stocks due to reduced spending and slower growth, but certain companies can thrive regardless of economic conditions [2] - Dollar General and Realty Income are highlighted as companies that are well-positioned to withstand economic challenges [2] Realty Income - Realty Income is a leading REIT known for its large monthly dividend yield of 5.63%, appealing to retirees [3] - The company has a history of maintaining its dividend through past financial crises, indicating a resilient business model [3] - Realty Income's strategy involves acquiring single-tenant commercial properties and leasing them to high-quality tenants, with no single client type accounting for more than 11% of total rent [4] - The company benefits from triple-net leases, where tenants cover operating costs, thus managing risk effectively [4] - A recession could potentially enhance Realty Income's growth prospects, as seen in previous bull runs following downturns in 2001 and 2007 [5] - The real estate sector is sensitive to interest rates, and typically, the Federal Reserve lowers rates during recessions, which could benefit Realty Income's growth potential [6] Dollar General - Dollar General, founded in 1939, is the largest chain of dollar stores in the U.S., targeting lower-income consumers with low prices [7] - The company has faced challenges from inflation but is positioned to attract customers from larger retailers during a recession [8] - Dollar General's unique market niche allows it to offer products in small quantities, catering to consumers needing to minimize spending [9] - In the second quarter, Dollar General reported a 5.1% year-over-year increase in net sales to $10.7 billion and an 8.3% rise in operating profits to $595 million [10] - The company offers a forward P/E ratio of 16, which is lower than the S&P 500 average of 22, along with a modest dividend yield of 2.16% [10]