美核心PCE通胀企稳 黄金开启黑天鹅回落

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the gold market is influenced by dovish monetary policy expectations from the Federal Reserve, with recent economic data supporting the likelihood of an interest rate cut [1][2] - The latest U.S. economic data shows that core PCE inflation remains stable, with a month-on-month increase of 0.2% and a year-on-year decrease from 2.9% to 2.8%, reinforcing market expectations for a rate cut [2] - The Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for December rose to 53.3, exceeding expectations, which may impact consumer behavior and spending [2] Group 2 - Geopolitical tensions, particularly the slow progress in Russia-Ukraine peace talks, continue to support safe-haven assets like gold, as uncertainty remains high [3] - Gold prices experienced fluctuations, reaching a high of 4259 before closing at 4198, with expectations for potential rebounds if support levels hold [4] - Key resistance levels for gold are identified at 4245-4260, while support levels are noted at 4165-4175, indicating potential trading strategies for investors [4]