智通财经网·2025-12-06 09:08Core Viewpoint - The proposal by former President Trump to terminate strict fuel economy standards set by the Biden administration poses a significant challenge to Europe's aggressive policies on banning fuel vehicles, highlighting a shift in the automotive industry's dynamics towards a more sustainable and diversified future led by China's oil-electric hybrid strategy [1][9]. Group 1: Policy Changes and Impacts - Trump's proposal aims to reduce the average cost of purchasing new cars by $1,000, potentially saving Americans $109 billion over five years [3]. - The new fuel efficiency standard proposed by Trump's administration requires vehicles to achieve approximately 34 miles per gallon by 2031, compared to Biden's target of 50 miles per gallon [2]. Group 2: Industry Dynamics - The automotive industry's core profits are derived from fuel vehicles, and the transition to electric vehicles represents a significant restructuring of interests, with traditional automakers facing survival pressures due to lost profits from engine manufacturing and after-sales services [4]. - The shift in stance among U.S. automakers from supporting electric vehicle initiatives to opposing stringent regulations reflects the industry's struggle with profit erosion amid changing policies [4]. Group 3: European Market Challenges - European automakers are under severe pressure from the EU's legislation to ban fuel vehicles by 2035, which is seen as overly ambitious and detrimental to businesses [5]. - The EU's "Fit for 55" plan aims for a 55% reduction in new car carbon emissions by 2030, with a complete transition to zero emissions by 2035, but this has led to some companies planning to abandon engine development altogether [5]. Group 4: Global Automotive Trends - The trend of oil-electric hybrid strategies is gaining traction globally, with Asian automakers, particularly Chinese brands like BYD, Geely, and Chery, significantly increasing their market share [7][8]. - The global automotive market remains predominantly fuel-based, with 73% of vehicles still using fuel, indicating that a rapid transition to electric vehicles is unlikely in the short term [8]. Group 5: China's Strategic Position - China's oil-electric hybrid strategy is viewed as a successful model, with the recent release of the 3.0 roadmap emphasizing the continued importance of internal combustion engines alongside electric vehicles [10]. - By 2040, it is projected that 85% of new passenger vehicles in China will be electric, with a significant market still remaining for non-pure electric models, positioning Chinese automakers as key players in the global automotive technology landscape [10].