可复用火箭应在实战中前行

Core Insights - The recent launch of the Zhuque-3 reusable rocket achieved orbit but failed in recovery, highlighting the iterative nature of reusable rocket technology development [1] - Developing reusable rockets is essential for China to become a space power and compete in the global space economy [1] Industry Overview - Reusable rocket technology is a global trend, with the potential to reduce launch costs by 80% to 90%, addressing the increasing demand for space access [1] - The Chinese government is actively promoting the development of commercial space, with policies supporting the establishment of industrial clusters in regions like Hainan, Beijing, and Shanghai [2] Technological Development - China is currently behind the U.S. in reusable rocket technology, with SpaceX's Falcon 9 achieving 31 successful recoveries since its first in December 2015, while China has yet to complete a successful orbital recovery [2] - Despite the gap, China has advantages such as the ability to learn from SpaceX's experiences and leverage new technologies like AI and 3D printing for potential advancements [2] Market Demand - China's large-scale satellite constellation plans, including GW, Qianfan, and Honghu, require breakthroughs in transportation capabilities provided by reusable rockets, which could unlock a trillion-dollar space economy [2] - The successful mass production of reusable rockets could lead to the emergence of 2 to 3 major companies with high-capacity, low-cost launch capabilities within the next five years [3] Project Progress - The Zhuque-3 launch marks the beginning of practical applications for China's reusable rocket technology, successfully delivering payloads to orbit while providing valuable data despite the recovery failure [3] - The development of other reusable rockets, such as the Long March 12 and Tianlong 3, is underway, with infrastructure like the Hainan commercial space launch site being established to support future recovery operations [3]