刘世锦：建议“十五五”?期间大幅增加离岸人民币数量，实现人民币国际化使用的“规模经济”

Core Viewpoint - The conference emphasized the need for China to become a consumer powerhouse, aligning its consumption-to-GDP ratio with international standards and enhancing the internationalization of the Renminbi [3][7]. Group 1: Key Points on Consumer Powerhouse - Liu Shijun outlined three focal points for building a consumer powerhouse: aligning consumption with GDP, prioritizing service consumption, and creating the world's largest consumer market [3][7]. - There is an urgent need to address structural consumption gaps to match the current per capita income levels in China with international standards [3][7]. - Development of service consumption, particularly human capital investment in education, healthcare, and social security, is crucial for driving innovation [3][7]. Group 2: Key Points on Manufacturing and Trade - China's manufacturing sector accounts for 30% of the global share, making it the largest goods exporter, yet there is a significant gap in the internationalization of the Renminbi [4][8]. - A new strategy is needed to balance imports and exports, allowing for increased imports paid in Renminbi while maintaining export competitiveness [4][8]. - In 2024, China's trade surplus is projected to approach $1 trillion, and by shifting to Renminbi for imports, it could significantly expand the offshore Renminbi market from over 1 trillion to more than 7 trillion Renminbi [9].