Ray Dalio warns that America is on track for a ‘debt death spiral.’ Are your assets safe?

Core Insights - The Federal Reserve is under scrutiny as President Trump seeks to replace Chair Jerome Powell, with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent suggesting a potential announcement before Christmas [1][6] - Ray Dalio warns of a "debt death spiral" due to the U.S. national debt reaching approximately $37.86 trillion, which could lead to a decline in the value of the dollar and bonds if inflation is not controlled [3][6] - Dalio draws parallels between the current economic climate and the early 1970s, highlighting concerns over inflation and the effectiveness of fiat currencies as stores of wealth [4][8] Economic Conditions - The U.S. Dollar Index fell by 10.8% in the first half of 2025, marking its worst performance since 1973, while inflation continues to erode purchasing power [6][8] - Experts are warning of 'stagflation,' characterized by moderate GDP growth, high inflation, and rising unemployment rates [7][8] Investment Strategies - Dalio advocates for gold as a hedge against economic uncertainty, suggesting a portfolio allocation of 15% to gold due to its historical performance during market downturns [10][11] - Jeffrey Gundlach supports a significant allocation to gold, calling it an "insurance policy" amid ongoing dollar weakness [12] Real Estate and Alternative Investments - Real estate is highlighted as a strong hedge against inflation, with property values and rental income typically rising during inflationary periods [16] - Crowdfunding platforms like Arrived and Homeshares offer accessible ways for investors to engage in real estate without the burdens of direct property management [19][21] - Art investment is emerging as an attractive option for diversification, with platforms like Masterworks allowing investors to buy shares in high-value artworks [24][26]