Why I Wouldn't Touch D-Wave Quantum Stock With a 10-Foot Pole

Core Insights - D-Wave Quantum has experienced significant stock price volatility, rising nearly 5,000% from a low of around $0.40 in early 2023 to a current price of $26.95, despite concerns about the company's long-term viability [1][6] - The company reported revenue of $22 million for the first three quarters of 2025, representing over 200% growth compared to the same period in 2024, indicating rapid revenue growth [2] - Despite positive revenue growth, D-Wave's business model is considered fragile, with a lack of significant customer commitments to quantum computing technology [4][7] Company Overview - D-Wave is positioned as a first mover in the quantum computing space, having sold its first quantum computer in 2011 for approximately $10 million [5] - The company's market capitalization is currently $9 billion, with a gross margin of 82.82% [6][7] - D-Wave's revenue in 2024 was only $8.8 million, which is less than its initial sale 13 years prior, highlighting inconsistent revenue growth despite ongoing technological development [7] Competitive Landscape - D-Wave faces competition from major players in the quantum computing industry, including Alphabet, Intel, and Microsoft, which may challenge its market position [8] - The company’s remaining performance obligations (RPOs) decreased from $4 million in Q3 2024 to $2.9 million in Q3 2025, indicating potential challenges in securing future revenue [9] - D-Wave's bookings for 2025 are down 7% compared to the same period in 2024, suggesting uncertainty in future growth prospects [10] Management and Investor Sentiment - Insider trading activity, particularly CEO Alan Baratz selling $43 million of his shares, raises concerns about management's confidence in the company's future [11] - The overall sentiment towards investing in D-Wave is cautious, with doubts about its competitive edge and long-term trajectory [11]