国际金融市场早知道:12月8日

Economic Indicators - The U.S. core PCE price index rose by 2.8% year-on-year in September, with a month-on-month increase of 0.2%, aligning with market expectations [1] - The U.S. consumer confidence index for December is initially set at 53.3, showing a month-on-month increase from November's final value of 51, but a year-on-year decline from last December's value of 74, indicating persistent consumer sentiment challenges due to high prices [1] - The European Central Bank's council member, Rehn, noted that medium-term inflation risks in the Eurozone are slightly skewed to the downside, influenced by lower energy prices, euro appreciation, and expectations of slowing service and wage inflation [2] Central Bank Actions - The Reserve Bank of India lowered its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 5.25% and announced plans to purchase 1 trillion rupees in bonds and conduct $5 billion in forex swap operations [3] Market Movements - The CME Group experienced a significant trading interruption exceeding 10 hours due to a data center failure caused by human error, highlighting the risks associated with reliance on a single data center [3] - The total holdings of gold ETFs increased to 3,932 tons by the end of November, marking the sixth consecutive month of growth, with over 700 tons purchased in 2025, potentially leading to the largest annual increase in holdings [3] Commodity Prices - LME copper futures and Shanghai Futures Exchange copper futures prices reached historical highs for three consecutive times in the past week, with Citigroup predicting copper prices could rise to $15,000 per ton next year, while CITIC Securities forecasts LME copper prices to exceed $12,000 per ton [4] Stock Market Performance - The three major U.S. stock indices rose on the 5th, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average increasing by 104.05 points to close at 47,954.99, a rise of 0.22% [6] - COMEX gold futures fell by 0.36% to $4,227.7 per ounce, while COMEX silver futures rose by 2.28% to $58.8 per ounce [6] Currency Exchange Rates - The U.S. dollar index closed at 98.992, slightly higher than the previous day's 98.990, with various currency exchange rates showing minor fluctuations against the dollar [7]