Atai Capital Management Q3 2025 Letter
Seeking Alpha·2025-12-08 04:30

Performance Summary - Atai Capital achieved a gain of 10.7% in Q3 2025, outperforming the S&P 500 (8.1%) but underperforming the Russell 2000 (12.4%) and Russell Microcap (17.0%) [3] - Year-to-date (YTD), Atai Capital's performance stands at 43.3%, significantly higher than the S&P 500 (14.8%), Russell 2000 (10.4%), and Russell Microcap (15.7%) [4] - Since inception, Atai Capital has delivered an 84.0% return, compared to 81.3% for the S&P 500, 44.0% for Russell 2000, and 43.9% for Russell Microcap [4] - The annualized return for Atai Capital is 24.9%, which is comparable to the S&P 500's 24.2% [4] Portfolio Composition - The portfolio's top contributor for the quarter was BK Technologies Corp (BKTI), with other notable contributors including Bel Fuse (BELFB) [5] - A large undisclosed position was trimmed as it approached sizing constraints, while new investments were made in BK Technologies and another undisclosed large detractor [6] - Approximately 58% of the portfolio consists of businesses with market caps below $500 million, with the top five positions making up around 58% of the portfolio [7] Investment Focus: BK Technologies Corp - BK Technologies manufactures Land Mobile Radios (LMRs) primarily for Fire and Police Departments, operating in an oligopolistic market dominated by Motorola [9] - The company has seen significant price increases (5-10%) without a decline in demand, indicating strong brand loyalty and price insensitivity among customers [9] - Under CEO John Suzuki, BK Technologies has improved gross margins from the low twenties in 2022 to over 50% today, with revenues doubling from pre-COVID levels [10] - BK Technologies aims to increase its market share from approximately 3.5% to 10%, with a long-term revenue goal of $230 million, driven by high-margin products [12][13] - The potential share price could reach $190-$250 based on a 15x-20x multiple on projected unlevered free cash flow (UFCF) of $45 million [14] Market Outlook - The U.S. markets are not currently viewed as fertile for new investments, with a higher hurdle rate for overseas opportunities [7] - The firm remains cautious about deploying cash, maintaining a higher bar for entry into the portfolio [17]

Bel Fuse -Atai Capital Management Q3 2025 Letter - Reportify