密切关注市场“鹰鸽”信号 金价震荡整理

Group 1 - Gold prices are currently on an upward trend, with spot gold reported at $4209.08 per ounce, up 0.29%, and a high of $4213.01 per ounce [1] - Market expectations are leaning towards a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December, with a probability of 86.2% for a 25 basis points cut [1] - Analysts predict gold prices will trade between $4200 and $4500 per ounce this year, potentially rising to $4500 to $5000 next year, although physical demand from India and China has weakened due to price corrections [1] Group 2 - A survey shows a split in expectations for gold price movements, with 46% of analysts bullish, 46% expecting sideways movement, and only 8% predicting a decline; among retail investors, 69% are bullish [2] - The market's sensitivity to the Federal Reserve's decisions indicates that future gold price movements will heavily depend on the dovish or hawkish signals from the Fed [2] - Ongoing discussions between the U.S. and Ukraine regarding territorial and security issues may also impact market sentiment [2] Group 3 - Investors are advised to closely monitor the dot plot and statements from Fed Chair Powell, as these will influence short-term market direction [3] - Recent trading in the gold market has shown consolidation, with fluctuations between $4162 and $4265 per ounce, indicating potential downward pressure this week [3] - Specific trading strategies suggest short positions if gold prices rise to $4230, with targets set at $4220, $4210, and $4200, while lower support levels are identified at $4190 and below [3]