研报掘金丨中金:维持中国中免“跑赢行业”评级 上海机场免税项目即将开标
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-12-08 06:52

Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC highlights that China Duty Free Group (CDFG) is the most competitive bidder for the duty-free shops at Shanghai's Pudong and Hongqiao airports, with the bidding process initiated on November 17 and opening on December 9 [1] Group 1: Competitive Position - CDFG's core competitive advantages include scale, supply chain, operations, channels, and talent [1] - Historical examples include CDFG winning bids at Beijing Capital Airport T3 and Daxing Airport despite not having the highest financial scores, due to superior technical scores [1] - CDFG's market share has increased in Hainan over the past few years, demonstrating its competitive strength [1] Group 2: Growth Potential - The growth rate of offshore duty-free sales is accelerating, with new policies expected to bring additional growth potential [1] - CICC has raised the target prices for CDFG's A/H shares by 13% and 18% to 93 RMB and 86 HKD, respectively, reflecting a corresponding P/E of 35x and 29x for 2026, indicating a potential upside of 15% and 16% [1]