智通财经网·2025-12-08 07:27Core Viewpoint - The recent resurgence of AI investment has led to a strong rebound in the US stock market, shifting Wall Street's sentiment from anxiety over an "AI bubble" to cautious optimism, with expectations for a bull market that could see the S&P 500 index surpass 7000 points by year-end and continue to rise through 2026 [1][4]. Group 1: Market Sentiment and Predictions - Wall Street strategists have increased their year-end and 2026 target levels for the S&P 500, predicting a "Santa Claus rally" that will push the index to significant milestones [1][4]. - Major financial institutions, including Deutsche Bank and Morgan Stanley, have set aggressive targets for the S&P 500, with predictions reaching as high as 8000 points by the end of 2026, driven by the ongoing AI investment cycle [4][5]. - The current market valuation, while high, remains within historically acceptable ranges, and the economic fundamentals in the US continue to provide substantial support for stock market growth [2][3]. Group 2: Economic Fundamentals - Despite a slight increase in unemployment and a cooling job market, consumer spending in the US remains resilient, particularly during key shopping periods like Thanksgiving and Black Friday [2]. - The Federal Reserve's anticipated interest rate cuts and the implementation of the OBBBA tax reform are expected to further bolster economic growth and corporate earnings, particularly in the tech sector [2][3]. - The combination of fiscal, monetary, and regulatory policies is creating a unique environment that supports strong corporate earnings growth, particularly in AI-related sectors [5][6]. Group 3: Broader Market Participation - The strength of the US stock market is no longer limited to large-cap tech stocks; other sectors such as healthcare, utilities, and traditional finance are also contributing to the market's upward momentum [3]. - Small-cap stocks and equal-weighted versions of the S&P 500 are nearing historical highs, indicating broader market participation and potential risk mitigation during any short-term corrections related to AI stocks [3]. - Investors are increasingly optimistic about the long-term growth prospects of the US economy, supported by a robust investment cycle driven by AI and other technological advancements [3][6].