智通财经网·2025-12-08 09:48Core Viewpoint - Meituan-W (03690) is recognized as a leading local business platform in China, with solid long-term barriers and a focus on exploring new business increments, leading to an "overweight" rating by Caitong Securities [1] Group 1: Business Overview - Meituan operates in key sectors including food delivery, flash purchase, and in-store travel services, while actively developing new businesses such as Xiaoxiang Supermarket and Kuailu, as well as expanding into overseas markets [2] - The macroeconomic environment is identified as the largest beta factor, with the service industry expected to grow faster than retail goods, enhancing the platform's growth potential and resilience [2] Group 2: International Expansion - The overseas expansion of the food delivery business has shown positive progress in regions like Hong Kong and Saudi Arabia, with Keeta's Hong Kong operations becoming profitable in October this year and significant quarter-on-quarter growth in user engagement metrics expected by Q3 2025 [3] - The internationalization strategy, although initiated later, is anticipated to significantly broaden the Total Addressable Market (TAM) for the company, creating structural flexibility for future profit growth [3] Group 3: Financial Projections - Caitong Securities forecasts Meituan's revenue to reach 366.2 billion, 417.4 billion, and 468.9 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [1]