定调!重磅会议召开!
Jin Rong Shi Bao·2025-12-08 13:35

Core Viewpoint - The Central Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China has set the tone for economic work in 2026, emphasizing "seeking progress while maintaining stability" and "improving quality and efficiency" as key principles for the upcoming economic strategy [1] Economic Performance - The macroeconomic resilience has exceeded market expectations, with high-tech manufacturing leading growth [2] - The total economic output is projected to reach approximately 140 trillion yuan this year [2] - The focus for 2026 will be on achieving qualitative improvements and reasonable quantitative growth while ensuring social stability and a good start to the 14th Five-Year Plan [2] Macroeconomic Policy - The meeting highlighted the continuation of a more proactive fiscal policy and moderately loose monetary policy, aiming to enhance macroeconomic governance effectiveness [3] - The fiscal deficit rate is expected to remain around 4%, with local government special bond issuance potentially increasing from 4.4 trillion yuan in 2025 to about 5 trillion yuan [3] - Monetary policy will seek a dynamic balance among multiple objectives, including stable growth and risk prevention [3] Domestic Market Development - The strategy emphasizes the need to build a strong domestic market to counter external uncertainties and enhance economic resilience [6] - Experts suggest that a consumption-oriented policy framework should be established, alongside reforms in income distribution and effective investment expansion [6] Innovation and Infrastructure - The focus on innovation and industrial development remains critical, with support for leading enterprises to form innovation alliances for national technological challenges [6] - There will be increased policy support for "new infrastructure" development, including communication networks and modern energy systems [6][7] Market Environment - A unified national market is essential for supporting technological innovation, with recommendations for optimizing institutional rules and protecting property rights [7] - Addressing "involution" competition is necessary to establish a healthy market order that promotes quality and fair pricing [7]