Emerson Electric Has Raised Its Dividend for 68 Years and the Streak Looks Secure

Core Insights - Emerson Electric has maintained a dividend payment for 68 consecutive years, with a current yield of 1.54% and recent earnings volatility prompting a deeper analysis of its dividend sustainability [1][9] Dividend Overview - The annual dividend is $2.11 per share, with a recent increase of 5.2% in November 2025, marking the company's status as a Dividend Aristocrat for over 25 years [2][9] - The dividend yield stands at 1.54%, reflecting a conservative approach to payout increases with a five-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.1% [2][10] Payout Ratios and Cash Flow - The earnings payout ratio for fiscal year 2025 is 35.2%, indicating a healthy level of earnings retained for growth [3][4] - The free cash flow (FCF) payout ratio is 44.7%, with $1.19 billion paid in dividends against $2.67 billion in FCF, leaving $1.48 billion for other uses such as debt reduction and share buybacks [3][4] - Operating cash flow coverage is strong at 2.60 times the dividend, providing a substantial cushion even after accounting for capital expenditures [3][4] Historical Performance and Anomalies - Fiscal year 2023 saw a significant drop in operating cash flow to $637 million and FCF to $274 million, with the dividend exceeding FCF by more than four times due to a strategic spinoff [6][8] - The company managed to maintain its $1.2 billion dividend commitment during this transition year, demonstrating management's resolve [8][9] Future Outlook - Cash flow has normalized in fiscal years 2024 and 2025, with both years generating over $2.6 billion in FCF and healthy coverage ratios between 2.2x and 2.4x [8][9] - The overall assessment indicates that the dividend appears secure, supported by a free cash flow payout ratio of 44.7% and a resilient balance sheet [9]