Why Allison Transmission Stock Popped on Monday

Core Viewpoint - Allison Transmission's stock price increased by 3.3% following an upgrade to "strong buy" by Raymond James, with a price target of $110, primarily due to its acquisition of Dana Incorporated's off-highway business [1][3]. Group 1: Acquisition Details - Allison Transmission has entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Dana's Off-Highway business for $2.7 billion, which manufactures power trains for various sectors including construction and agriculture [4]. - The acquisition has received all necessary regulatory approvals, with a closing date set for later this month [4]. Group 2: Financial Implications - Post-acquisition, Allison is expected to have a more balanced revenue mix and an additional $2.5 billion in revenue compared to its current figures [5]. - Allison's market capitalization stands at $8 billion, with trailing earnings of just under $700 million, resulting in a valuation of 11 times earnings [6]. - Analysts predict that Allison may struggle to grow earnings by even 1% annually before considering the impact of the Dana acquisition [6]. Group 3: Debt Considerations - Allison currently has $1.5 billion in net debt, which is expected to increase to $4.2 billion due to the acquisition of Dana [7]. - This increase in debt could elevate Allison's enterprise value to approximately $12 billion, making it appear more expensive at a presumed enterprise value of 17 times earnings [7].