Group 1: Federal Reserve and Market Expectations - The market is anticipating a near-certain rate cut from the Federal Reserve, with a focus on Jerome Powell's tone regarding future monetary policy [2][4] - A dovish tone could lead to a year-end rally, while a hawkish stance may dampen market enthusiasm [2] Group 2: Oracle's Earnings Report - Oracle is facing scrutiny over its AI cloud backlog, with concerns that it may be inflated due to flexible, cancellable commitments [5] - Investors are questioning whether Oracle can convert its backlog into significant revenue, especially in light of widening debt CDS spreads indicating rising credit market concerns [5][6] - Expectations for Oracle's quarterly performance include clarity on the impact of heavy spending on hardware and datacenter buildouts on cloud revenue and profitability through 2025 [6] Group 3: Market Rotation and Adobe's Earnings - There has been a significant market rotation towards value stocks, particularly in financials, industrials, and energy, while AI-related tech stocks are lagging [7] - Adobe's upcoming earnings report is expected to show mid-teens revenue growth and healthy margins, but concerns exist about whether the company is losing long-term momentum or simply experiencing a rotation [8] - Adobe's revenue is projected to be approximately $13.2 billion with an EPS of around $1.37, and cloud growth is expected in the mid-teens [10]
FOMC On Deck, Oracle Earnings, And Value Rotation Takes the Lead - NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA), Oracle (NYSE:ORCL)