中国社会科学院学部委员高培勇：确保高质量发展取得显著成效有两大支点

Core Viewpoint - The key to ensuring significant achievements in high-quality development during the "15th Five-Year Plan" period lies in two main supports: boosting consumption and expanding effective investment [1][2]. Group 1: Economic Growth and Development Goals - The environment for development during the "15th Five-Year Plan" is increasingly complex, with a target for per capita GDP to reach between $25,000 and $26,000 by 2035, requiring it to double from approximately $13,500 in 2024 [1][2]. - The reasonable range for economic growth over the next five years is projected to be between 4.5% and 5.5%, with a target of around 5% for the "15th Five-Year Plan" [2]. Group 2: Challenges and Consumer Confidence - Current challenges to achieving high-quality development include insufficient effective demand and significant pressure on employment and income growth [2]. - Weak expectations are identified as the root cause of insufficient domestic demand, which in turn affects consumption levels [2]. Group 3: Policy and Reform Recommendations - To boost consumption, policies should focus on releasing current consumption potential through adjustments in fiscal subsidies and loan interest [3]. - Deepening reforms is necessary to enhance long-term consumption capacity, including tax reforms that align with personal income and social equity [3]. Group 4: Investment and Business Environment - Expanding effective investment should not merely focus on increasing investment volume but should strategically develop new productive forces and improve the business environment [3][4]. - The business environment significantly influences the scale and structure of investments, thus optimizing it is essential for enhancing investment confidence among entrepreneurs [4].