中信证券:今年全年出口有望实现5.3%左右增长 判断明年出口基本面也有较强支撑
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-12-09 00:55

Core Viewpoint - In November, China's export growth exceeded expectations and previous values, primarily driven by strong resilience in exports to non-US regions, with significant contributions from the automotive, semiconductor, and machinery sectors. The drag from labor-intensive products on overall exports has diminished [1] Export Analysis - The export growth in November is attributed to robust performance in non-US markets, indicating a resilient demand [1] - Key sectors contributing to export growth include the automotive industry, semiconductor industry, and machinery and transportation equipment [1] - The overall export growth for the year is projected to reach approximately 5.3%, supported by a strong fundamental outlook for next year [1] Import Analysis - In contrast, import growth in November fell below expectations, potentially linked to a decline in manufacturing sector activity [1] - Notable increases in import volumes were observed for bulk commodities such as iron ore, copper, and natural gas, while imports of crude oil and coal saw a decrease in growth rates [1]