美联储议息会议在即！国际铜价再创新高，有色龙头ETF（159876）获资金实时净申购2400万份！

Group 1: Market Overview - The market is currently consolidating, with the non-ferrous metals sector leading the decline, as evidenced by the non-ferrous leader ETF (159876) which saw a drop of over 2% [1][12] - Despite the market downturn, the non-ferrous leader ETF (159876) received a net subscription of 24 million shares, indicating investor confidence in the future performance of non-ferrous metals [1][12] - As of December 8, the non-ferrous leader ETF (159876) has a total scale of 739 million yuan, making it the largest ETF tracking the same index in the market [1][12] Group 2: Sector Performance - Major stocks in the sector such as Huaxi Nonferrous, Luoyang Molybdenum, and China Aluminum experienced declines of over 4%, while Yunnan Zinc and Licheng Group saw increases of over 3% and 1% respectively [1][7] - The performance of the non-ferrous metals index is being dragged down by the significant losses in key stocks [1][7] Group 3: Macroeconomic Factors - The Federal Reserve is set to begin a monetary policy meeting, with an 89.4% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut, which is expected to support non-ferrous metal prices [3][8] - The ongoing expectation of further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve is seen as a driving force for potential price increases in non-ferrous metals [3][8] Group 4: Industry Outlook - International copper prices have reached new highs, driven by supply shortages and tariff concerns, which may continue to push prices upward [3][9] - The current tightening of supply and demand dynamics in the physical asset market suggests that even small supply gaps could lead to significant price fluctuations during the Fed's rate cut cycle [3][9] - The non-ferrous metals sector, particularly copper and aluminum, is anticipated to enter a super cycle, with increasing demand projected for 2026 driven by power investments and storage needs [3][9][10] Group 5: Investment Strategy - A diversified investment approach through the non-ferrous leader ETF (159876) and its associated funds is recommended to mitigate risks associated with individual metal investments [4][10] - The ETF covers a broad range of sectors including copper, aluminum, gold, rare earths, and lithium, making it suitable for inclusion in investment portfolios [4][10]