Group 1 - The market is pricing in a 95% probability of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December, according to Academy Securities strategist Peter Tchir [1] - There is a divergence in views on rate cuts between Fed Chair Powell and NEC Director Hassett, which is reshaping market expectations for monetary policy in 2025 [1] - Nomura Securities suggests that if the market reacts "honestly" to a hawkish rate cut, it could lead to a liquidity reversal, weakening bonds and stocks while strengthening the dollar [1] Group 2 - The Hong Kong stock market will be affected by the Fed's rate cut stance, whether hawkish or dovish, with expectations that a hawkish cut may limit the rebound in Hong Kong stocks [2] - The market currently favors the Hong Kong Central Enterprises Dividend ETF (513910), which has a high dividend yield of 6.65% as of December 8, providing a strong safety net amid upcoming volatility [2]
降息概率高达95%，但如果是“鹰派降息”，港股市场该如何布局？
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen·2025-12-09 05:22