11月国内光伏组件产量环比下降,储能电芯延续高景气态势 | 投研报告
Zhong Guo Neng Yuan Wang·2025-12-09 07:02

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic and energy storage industry is experiencing a decline in production and demand, with domestic and international markets showing signs of weakness, leading to adjustments in production plans and pricing strategies [1][2]. Production - Photovoltaic module production in November 2025 decreased by 2.43% compared to October, with domestic installation progress in December falling short of expectations, leading to increased inventory levels [1][2]. - In December 2025, the production forecast for China's market of power, storage, and consumer batteries is 220 GWh, a 5.3% increase month-on-month, with energy storage batteries accounting for approximately 35.3% of this production [2]. Pricing - As of December 3, 2025, the price of polysilicon remained stable at 52.00 CNY/kg, while the average price of 183N monocrystalline silicon wafers decreased slightly to 1.18 CNY/piece [3]. - The average bid price for lithium iron phosphate battery storage systems in October 2025 was 0.5547 CNY/Wh, reflecting a 10% increase month-on-month [3]. Demand - In October 2025, the export value of photovoltaic modules was approximately 2.258 billion USD, a year-on-year increase of 4.39% but a month-on-month decrease of 19.34% [4]. - Domestic photovoltaic installations in October 2025 reached 12.6 GW, a month-on-month increase of 30.4%, while cumulative installations for the year totaled 252.87 GW, a year-on-year increase of 39.5% [4]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies related to photovoltaic and energy storage sectors, recommending stocks such as Sungrow Power Supply (300274.SZ), Narada Power Source (300068.SZ), and others [5].

11月国内光伏组件产量环比下降,储能电芯延续高景气态势 | 投研报告 - Reportify