反内卷与科技引领，触底反弹启新篇

Core Viewpoint - The electric power equipment and new energy industry index is expected to accelerate its growth in the second half of 2025, with a year-to-date increase of 39.0%, ranking third among 29 industries that have seen index growth in 2025 [1][2]. Industry Overview - The new energy industry has gradually emerged from difficulties characterized by capacity expansion, supply-demand imbalance, plummeting product prices, and widespread corporate losses, supported by anti-involution policies [1][2]. - The industry is experiencing a rebalancing of supply and demand, with new technologies and market expansions driving demand [1][2]. Financial Performance - Overall industry profitability indicators have stopped declining, although the photovoltaic sector still faces significant profit pressure [3]. - Revenue has ceased its accelerated decline and is showing signs of a rebound entering 2025, while photovoltaic revenue continues to decline year-on-year [4]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company shows a rebound for lithium batteries, wind power, and power grids, while photovoltaic profits are declining at a slower rate, indicating signs of bottoming out [5]. Inventory and Capital Expenditure - The industry is in a destocking cycle, with significant alleviation of inventory risks; battery inventory has rebounded from its low point, while photovoltaic inventory continues to decrease [6][7]. - Absolute inventory values have significantly decreased from their peak, with battery inventory showing a notable rebound, while photovoltaic inventory is still rapidly declining [7]. - Capital expenditure, a key indicator for current investments, has been declining for batteries and photovoltaics since their peak in 2021, while wind power capital expenditure has rebounded from its low point [8]. Investment Trends - The electric new energy industry has experienced three years of volatility, with current fund holdings at historically low levels; as supply and demand recover and prices rebound, the investment value of the industry is increasing, indicating potential for fund holdings to rise [8]. - In Q3 2025, the electric new energy industry’s fund overweight ratio is 2.1%, significantly down from the 2022 peak and at a near five-year low [9]. - Among the top 15 companies by fund holdings in the electric new energy sector, nine are from the lithium battery supply chain, showing a strong correlation between institutional allocation trends and industry recovery [9]. - Leading companies like CATL have seen their fund holding ratio increase by 4.62 percentage points to 9.06% in Q3 2025, with an overweight ratio of 7.22%, indicating enhanced investment attractiveness due to performance and growth certainty [9].