贺博生:黄金原油大幅回落最新行情走势分析及今日操作建议指导

Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The current spot gold price is around $4193 per ounce, with a slight decline observed due to cautious investor sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting [1][5][6] - The market anticipates a potentially hawkish interest rate decision from the Federal Reserve, leading to a wait-and-see approach among traders [1][6] - The U.S. dollar index (DXY) fluctuated around 99.07, having dipped to 98.79 earlier, while U.S. Treasury yields are on the rise, with the 10-year yield nearing 4.180%, the highest since September 26 [1][6] Group 2: Technical Analysis of Gold - Although gold remains in an upward trend, momentum is waning, raising concerns about future price movements [2][7] - Key support levels to watch are between $4175 and $4200; a break below this range could lead to increased volatility and focus on the $4100 psychological level [2][7] - Resistance levels are identified between $4220 and $4270; a strong breakout above this range could signal a renewed attempt to reach historical highs [2][7] Group 3: Oil Market Analysis - The price of WTI crude oil is approximately $58.85 per barrel, having dropped over 2% due to the resumption of production in Iraq and ongoing attention to peace talks in Ukraine [3][8] - Brent crude oil is trading below $64 per barrel, while WTI remains stable around $60; concerns about India's continued oil imports from Russia are supporting short-term prices [3][8] - The oil market is characterized by a "short-term tight, long-term loose" condition, with short-term prices influenced by geopolitical events and supply disruptions [3][8] Group 4: Technical Analysis of Oil - The current oil price is experiencing minor fluctuations, with a test of previous lows around $56; if this support is broken, a downward trend may ensue [4][9] - Short-term trends indicate an upward movement within a broad channel, but momentum is weakening, suggesting a potential decline after recent fluctuations [4][9] - Recommended trading strategy includes focusing on short positions during rebounds and monitoring resistance at $60.0-$61.0 and support at $57.5-$56.5 [4][9]