Mortgage and refinance interest rates today, December 9, 2025: Will a Fed rate cut move rates lower?

Core Insights - Mortgage rates have remained stable for over six weeks, with the average 30-year rate at 6.07% and the 15-year rate at 5.53% [1][15] - A potential Federal Reserve rate cut is anticipated, which may influence bond market sentiment and mortgage rates [1][14] Current Mortgage Rates - The current national average mortgage rates are as follows: - 30-year fixed: 6.07% - 20-year fixed: 6.03% - 15-year fixed: 5.53% - 5/1 ARM: 6.19% - 7/1 ARM: 6.30% - 30-year VA: 5.64% - 15-year VA: 5.25% - 5/1 VA: 5.40% [5] Refinance Rates - Refinance rates are generally higher than purchase rates, with the current national averages reflecting this trend [3][5] Economic Outlook - Economists do not expect significant drops in mortgage rates through the end of 2026, despite potential Federal Reserve rate cuts [13][16] - The Mortgage Bankers Association forecasts the 30-year mortgage rate to remain near 6.4% through 2026, with a slight dip to 5.9% in Q4 2026 [17]