What to expect from the last Fed meeting of 2025 — and what a rate cut could mean for your wallet

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve's upcoming decision on interest rates will significantly impact consumer prices, the job market, and corporate America, with a 90% chance of a quarter-point cut predicted by CME FedWatch [1]. Economic Data and Labor Market - The Federal Open Market Committee's decision is complicated by a recent government shutdown that disrupted key economic data releases, leaving the Fed without a complete picture of the U.S. economy [2][3]. - Key job and price data are delayed, including the October consumer price index and unemployment rate, which will not be available before the December meeting [3][4]. - The delayed September jobs report indicated more job additions than expected, but the increase in unemployment suggests ongoing concerns about the labor market [5][6]. Federal Reserve's Strategy - Economists expect the Fed to cut rates again but may adopt a wait-and-see approach afterward to assess economic developments [7]. - Some Fed members advocate for larger and more consistent rate cuts, indicating potential shifts in monetary strategy in 2026 as leadership changes [8]. Impact on Consumers and Businesses - A third consecutive rate cut could lower costs for major purchases, such as mortgages and auto loans, while also making credit card payments cheaper [9][10]. - Sustained rate cuts could enhance the job market by facilitating business borrowing and investment, potentially leading to increased consumer spending [12].