Core Insights - RH, formerly known as Restoration Hardware, is set to report its third-quarter fiscal 2025 results on December 11, with previous quarter results showing adjusted EPS and net revenues missed estimates by 8.2% and 0.7%, respectively, but grew year-over-year by 73.4% and 8.3% [1][2] Earnings Performance - RH's earnings have topped consensus estimates in one of the last four quarters, with the average surprise being -0.14 [2][3] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal third-quarter EPS is $2.13, indicating a decline from the year-ago EPS of $2.48, while net revenues are expected to reach $883 million, reflecting an 8.8% year-over-year increase [3][4] Revenue and Growth Expectations - For fiscal 2025, RH anticipates a 10% increase in net revenues and a 68.5% growth in its bottom line [4] - The current quarter's revenue growth is expected to be between 8% and 10% year-over-year, with adjusted operating margins projected to decline to 12-13% from 15% in the previous year [15] Market Trends and Expansion - RH operates in the luxury home furnishing market, which is experiencing resilience despite a depressed housing market, driven by demand for high-end furnishings [6][8] - The company is expanding its gallery format and premium positioning, with strong openings in Europe and plans for further expansion in London and Milan by 2026 [7][9] Sourcing and Production Strategy - RH is reducing its reliance on China for sourcing, expecting to decrease receipts from 16% to 2% by the fiscal fourth quarter, while increasing domestic production, particularly in upholstered furniture [11][12] - By the end of fiscal 2025, approximately 52% of upholstery will be produced in North Carolina, with additional production in Italy and Mexico [11] Challenges and Market Conditions - The company faces challenges from tariffs, a weak housing market, and macroeconomic uncertainties, which are impacting demand and increasing costs [13][14] - RH is investing heavily in market-share capture and promotional activities, which are affecting margins, alongside start-up costs from international expansion [14] Valuation and Stock Performance - RH stock is currently trading at a forward P/E ratio of 12.43, which is lower than competitors like Williams-Sonoma and Arhaus [20] - Despite the attractive valuation, RH has underperformed compared to peers in the past three months, reflecting broader market challenges [18][19] Investment Outlook - The company is balancing long-term growth opportunities with near-term pressures, supported by strong demand for luxury home furnishings and international expansion efforts [21] - However, ongoing macroeconomic headwinds and execution risks suggest a cautious approach for new investors, while existing investors may consider retaining their positions [24]
Should You Buy, Hold or Fold RH Stock Ahead of Q3 Earnings Release?