Teva Stock Trading Above 200- & 50-Day SMA for 2 Months: How to Play

Core Insights - Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited's stock has shown bullish momentum, trading above its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages since late October, with a golden cross achieved in mid-September, indicating potential for a sustained upward trend [1][2][7] Stock Performance and Drivers - The 50-day SMA remains above the 200-day SMA, signaling positive future gains for the stock [2] - A significant factor contributing to Teva's stock performance was the conclusion of pricing negotiations under the Inflation Reduction Act for its key drug, Austedo, which is set for Medicare price setting starting in 2027. Teva raised its 2025 sales expectations for Austedo and maintains a revenue target of over $2.5 billion by 2027, with projections to exceed $3 billion by 2030 [2][6] Product Performance - Teva's newest branded drugs, including Austedo, Ajovy, and Uzedy, have collectively seen a 33% year-over-year sales increase, reaching $800 million in the third quarter [5] - Austedo sales rose 33% in the first nine months of 2025, with expectations for annual revenues exceeding $2.5 billion by 2027 and over $3 billion by 2030. The launch of Austedo XR, a new formulation, is expected to further boost sales [6] - Ajovy sales increased by 27% in the first nine months of 2025, with anticipated growth from patient expansion and international launches [8] - Uzedy, launched in May 2023, achieved sales of approximately $136 million in the first nine months of 2025, with total sales expected between $190 million and $200 million for the year [9] Pipeline and Future Growth - Teva's branded pipeline includes promising products like olanzapine and duvakitug, with ongoing phase III studies for duvakitug in collaboration with Sanofi [10] - The company anticipates generating over $5 billion in revenues from its branded products by 2030 [11] - Teva's generics and biosimilars pipeline is strengthening, with successful launches of several high-value complex generics and biosimilars [12][13] Market Position and Valuation - Teva's U.S. generics/biosimilars business showed a 15% increase in 2024, although sales were nearly flat in the first nine months of 2025 due to competitive pressures [15] - The stock has risen 28.6% year-to-date, outperforming the industry average of 28.2%, and is trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 10.39, lower than the industry average of 14.37 [20][23] Financial Outlook - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings has increased from $2.55 to $2.61 per share for 2025, with stability at $2.73 for 2026 [26] - Despite headwinds, Teva's newer drugs are driving top-line growth, and the company is focused on cost savings and margin improvements, targeting an adjusted operating margin of 30% by 2027 [29][30]