DoorDash Stock Rallies 30% in One Year: Should You Buy, Hold, or Sell?

Core Insights - DoorDash (DASH) shares have increased by 29.7% over the past 12 months, outperforming the Zacks Computer & Technology sector's growth of 27.2% [1] - The growth is driven by strong order growth, rising Marketplace Gross Order Value (GOV), improved logistics efficiency, and increased advertising contributions [1] Company Performance - Total orders for DoorDash rose by 21% year over year to 776 million in Q3 2025, while Marketplace GOV increased by 25% year over year to $25 billion, indicating robust demand [2] - For Q4 2025, DoorDash anticipates Marketplace GOV to be between $28.9 billion and $29.5 billion, with 2025 revenue estimates significantly rising [9][10] Partnerships and Expansions - DoorDash is expanding its partner network, which includes notable companies like Old Navy, Family Dollar, Waymo, Kroger, and McDonald's, enhancing its service offerings and market reach [5] - A new partnership with Family Dollar was announced in November 2025 to provide on-demand delivery from approximately 7,000 stores nationwide [6] - In October 2025, DoorDash partnered with Waymo to test an autonomous delivery service in Metro Phoenix, with plans to expand the service later [7] - A new online ordering experience was launched with McDonald's, allowing customers to order McDelivery directly via mobile web or desktop [8] Financial Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for DoorDash's earnings in 2025 is $2.23 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 668.97% despite an 8.23% decrease over the past 30 days [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 revenues is projected at $13.75 billion, indicating a year-over-year increase of 28.28% [11] Competitive Landscape - DoorDash faces increasing competition from local food delivery platforms like Uber Technologies and Amazon, which are also expanding their delivery services [12] - Amazon's Prime membership program continues to enhance its delivery ecosystem, offering faster delivery options [13] - Uber Technologies reported a 29% year-over-year increase in its Delivery segment, highlighting the competitive pressure in the market [14] Valuation Concerns - DoorDash shares are considered overvalued, with a trailing 12-month Price/Book ratio of 10.23, exceeding the Internet - Services industry's average of 7.92 [15] - The current valuation concerns, along with intense competition and a fragmented market, may pressure margins [17]