Core Viewpoint - The introduction of Google's Gemini 3, trained on its own TPUs, poses a challenge to Oklo's business model, which relies on the assumption of increasing energy demand from AI data centers [4][5]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Oklo's stock experienced a significant decline, dropping as much as 35.4% from October 31, ultimately finishing November down 31.2% [2]. - In contrast, the S&P 500 saw a slight increase of 0.1% during the same period, while the Nasdaq Composite fell by 1.5% [2]. Group 2: Company Overview - Oklo is focused on developing small modular reactors (SMRs), which are expected to meet the energy demands of future AI data centers [3]. - The company's market capitalization stands at $16 billion, with a current stock price of $2.09 [3]. Group 3: Market Implications - Google's Gemini 3's training on TPUs, which are more energy-efficient than traditional GPUs, could lead to reduced energy consumption for AI, thereby diminishing the projected demand for Oklo's SMRs [4][5]. - If other companies, like Meta, follow Google's lead in adopting TPUs, the overall energy demand from AI could be significantly lower than anticipated [5]. Group 4: Valuation Concerns - Oklo's stock is considered overpriced, driven by speculative beliefs about future energy demand from AI, raising questions about the sustainability of its current valuation [7]. - Despite the potential of SMRs, the uncertainties surrounding their market adoption make Oklo's current valuation difficult to justify [8].
Oklo Stock Sank 31.2% In November. What's Next?