美联储12月降息已成大概率事件，金价探底回升，长期驱动因素仍保持稳健

Core Viewpoint - Gold prices experienced fluctuations, with a notable drop below $4200 before recovering to close at $4236.6 per ounce, influenced by market expectations of potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [1] Group 1: Market Performance - COMEX gold futures increased by 0.45% to $4236.6 per ounce [1] - The China Gold ETF (518850) decreased by 0.71% [1] - The Gold Stock ETF (159562) fell by 3.28% [1] Group 2: Economic Indicators - Recent economic data suggests that interest rate cuts are likely to continue, with several Federal Reserve officials supporting a rate cut in December [1] - Trump's comments on selecting a new Federal Reserve chair based on their stance on significant rate cuts indicate a potential shift in monetary policy [1] Group 3: Supply and Demand Dynamics - Long-term supply and demand imbalances are causing shortages in silver, which remains a core driver for gold and silver prices [1] - The long-term trend for gold and silver prices is expected to remain robust despite short-term adjustments, with limited downside potential [1]