张尧浠:美联储决议来袭 金价维持震荡等待方向指引

Core Viewpoint - International gold prices are experiencing fluctuations but are expected to strengthen further if they can break through current resistance levels [1][10]. Market Performance - On December 9, gold opened at $4190.42 per ounce, reached a low of $4170.19, and a high of $4221.09, closing at $4208.07, with a daily fluctuation of $50.9 and a gain of $17.65, or 0.42% [1][10]. Market Outlook - On December 10, gold opened strong, supported by buying interest and a weaker dollar index, but market movements are limited as investors await guidance from the Federal Reserve [2][12]. Influencing Factors - Factors such as potential tariff reductions by Trump, positive U.S. employment data, and ongoing geopolitical uncertainties are influencing gold prices. Optimism regarding future Fed rate cuts is providing support for gold despite a stronger dollar [4][12]. Analyst Insights - Analysts suggest that market caution ahead of the Fed's monetary policy meeting is keeping gold prices in a range. Expectations of a 25 basis point rate cut may lead to a temporary decline in gold prices post-announcement, but the long-term outlook remains bullish due to continued central bank gold purchases and geopolitical risks [5][14]. Technical Analysis - Monthly charts indicate a strong rebound in November, but December's momentum is weakening. Gold needs to break above $4400 to open further upside potential. Weekly indicators show reduced bullish momentum, while daily charts suggest a mixed outlook with key resistance at $4265 and support levels around $4200 and $4180 [7][16][17]. Trading Guidance - For trading, key support levels for gold are noted at $4200 and $4180, with resistance at $4230 and $4255. Silver support is at $60.40 and $59.40, with resistance at $61.50 and $62.00 [8][17].