Core Insights - The core viewpoint of the article is that there will be a significant increase in demand for computing power in both training and reasoning segments by 2026, driven by advancements in AI applications and software [1] Group 1: Market Demand and Supply - The demand for computing power is expected to rise sharply in 2026, particularly in AI applications and new software [1] - Current supply bottlenecks are primarily due to domestic chip production relying on overseas foundries [1] - A supply-demand mismatch is anticipated in 2026, necessitating domestic foundries to accelerate technological breakthroughs and capacity expansion [1] Group 2: Industry Trends - The potential of AI applications and physical world applications may become a "gray rhino," indicating a significant but overlooked risk [1] - Technology companies are currently focusing resources on core AI areas, leading to a contraction in non-core businesses, which may pressure supply chains and increase upstream cost pressures in early 2024 [1] - The innovation in end-user applications is likely to experience a "first suppress then promote" trend, with rapid advancements expected in scenarios like robotics and autonomous driving once foundational models mature [1]
中欧基金杜厚良：2026年国内外市场在训练与推理环节对算力的需求都将大幅攀升
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang·2025-12-10 06:32