白银狂飙112%，成今年最好投资品

Group 1 - Silver prices have reached a historic high, with spot silver hitting $61.469 per ounce on December 10, marking the first time it has surpassed $61 per ounce. The year-to-date increase in silver prices is 112%, compared to a 60% increase in gold prices, making silver the best-performing investment of the year [2][11] - COMEX silver prices have also exceeded $62 per ounce, while the Shanghai Futures Exchange's main silver contract reached a peak of 14,388 yuan per kilogram, with an increase of over 5%. This marks the eighth consecutive month of price increases for silver [2][11][15] Group 2 - The demand for precious metals has surged in recent months, driven by rising debt levels in major Western economies and increased risks of currency devaluation. Silver, being more sensitive to changes in the dollar due to its smaller market size, has attracted investors seeking lower-cost safe-haven assets [4][12] - Analysts expect strong industrial demand for silver in the coming years, which is contributing to rising prices. Factors such as tight supply, declining global inventories, and the Federal Reserve's anticipated interest rate cuts are also supporting silver prices [4][12] Group 3 - Predictions indicate a structural supply gap of approximately 95 million ounces in the global silver market by 2025, marking the fifth consecutive year of supply shortages. Global silver supply is expected to remain stable at around 813 million ounces, while total demand is projected to decline by about 4% to 1.12 billion ounces [6][16] - The demand for silver in the photovoltaic industry is expected to be a long-term support factor, with the International Energy Agency forecasting an increase in solar capacity that will drive silver demand up by nearly 150 million ounces annually by 2030 [6][16] Group 4 - The market anticipates a high probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December, with estimates around 87.6%. This expectation is likely to continue boosting market sentiment towards silver [5][13][17] - Despite the significant year-to-date increase in silver prices, the market has entered an overbought territory, which may lead to heightened sensitivity to macroeconomic data. The current gold-silver ratio indicates potential for further correction [8][17][18] Group 5 - The largest silver ETF, SLV, has seen its holdings increase to 15,973.16 tons, reflecting a rise of 84.62 tons from the previous day, maintaining a high level of investment interest [9][18]