光大证券:首次覆盖老铺黄金(06181)予“买入”评级 目标价804.64港元
智通财经网·2025-12-10 07:36

Core Viewpoint - Everbright Securities reports that Laopu Gold (06181) is a pioneer and leader in the ancient gold concept in China, positioned as a high-end brand with a long-term focus on the market [1] Group 1: Industry Insights - The demand for ancient gold is increasing as gold prices rise, with consumers seeking investment and preservation value [1] - The market size for gold products in China is projected to reach 568.8 billion yuan in 2024, with the ancient gold segment's share increasing from 4% in 2018 to 30% in 2023, and expected to reach 52% by 2028 [2] - Gold consumption is evolving beyond traditional occasions, becoming a fashionable item for younger consumers, with various designs carrying emotional significance [2] Group 2: Company Positioning - Laopu Gold differentiates itself in the high-end ancient gold market, achieving a 77.3% overlap in consumer base with luxury brands like LV and Cartier, and has approximately 480,000 members [3] - The company boasts superior craftsmanship in ancient gold, leading to higher product premiums and profitability, with gross and net profit margins of 38.1% and 18.4% respectively for the first half of 2025 [3] Group 3: Product and Growth Strategy - Laopu Gold's product design incorporates classic cultural elements, appealing to the trend of modern Chinese aesthetics, making gold a staple in daily fashion for younger consumers [4] - The company focuses on high-end shopping districts with exquisite store displays, achieving significant same-store revenue growth, and is expanding its online presence to attract younger demographics [4] Group 4: Financial Projections - For 2024, Laopu Gold is expected to achieve revenue of 8.506 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 167.5%, and a net profit of 1.473 billion yuan, up 253.9% [5] - Revenue projections for 2025 to 2027 are 26.744 billion, 36.168 billion, and 46.094 billion yuan, with corresponding net profits of 4.763 billion, 6.541 billion, and 8.449 billion yuan, indicating substantial growth rates [5]