刚刚,创历史新高!年内涨幅已超100%!
Jin Rong Shi Bao·2025-12-10 08:34

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in silver prices is attributed to a combination of increased industrial demand and tight global supply, creating a structural imbalance that drives prices higher [2][3]. Group 1: Price Movements - On December 9, the London spot silver price reached $60 per ounce, marking a daily increase of 4.33%, while COMEX silver hit a record high of approximately $61.3 per ounce with a daily gain of 4.72% [1]. - As of December 10, the London spot silver price reported $61.182 per ounce, with a daily increase of 0.85%, and COMEX silver rose to $61.520 per ounce, up 1.12%, continuing to set historical highs [1]. - Year-to-date, the London spot silver price has increased by over 110%, significantly outperforming gold and becoming one of the best-performing commodities of the year [1]. Group 2: Demand Factors - India's silver consumption, which relies 80% on imports, significantly impacts global silver prices, especially during traditional festivals like Diwali, leading to a surge in physical silver demand [2]. - The local retail market in India is experiencing a notable shortage of silver inventory, resulting in a significant premium for domestic prices compared to international markets [2]. - From September to October, India's silver imports saw a substantial increase, with total imports reaching 3,288 tons in the first eight months of 2025, exceeding the average of the past five years by nearly 10% [2]. Group 3: Supply Factors - The global supply of silver is tightening, with London’s silver inventory decreasing by 33% since June 2021, now standing at 24,581 tons as of September 2025 [3]. - The combination of strong demand and declining supply has led to a structural shortage in the global silver market, which is a key driver of the price increase [3]. Group 4: Market Outlook - Market analysts generally agree that the long-term bullish trend for silver remains intact, although short-term volatility may increase due to recent price highs [4]. - Factors such as sovereign debt issues and geopolitical risks continue to support the long-term supply-demand imbalance for silver, maintaining a robust core driver for prices [4]. - The ongoing uncertainty regarding tariffs and the stable supply-demand fundamentals are expected to provide continued support for silver prices [4].