2025年12月10日国际黄金晚盘行情预测

Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve, which is supporting gold prices amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, particularly the Russia-Ukraine conflict [1][2][3]. Group 1: Federal Reserve and Economic Indicators - The Federal Reserve is expected to announce a 25 basis point rate cut, despite persistent inflation indicated by the September PCE price index exceeding the Fed's annual target [2]. - Fed officials believe that slowing hiring, moderate economic growth, and restrained wage increases will likely lead to a cooling of inflation in the coming months, supporting further easing policies [2]. Group 2: Gold Market Dynamics - Gold is currently trading around $4205 per ounce, maintaining support at the $4200 level, with cautious optimism from bulls until the Fed's future rate cut path is clarified [1]. - The recent strong JOLTS job openings data did not alter the market's dovish expectations for the Fed, allowing gold to benefit as a non-yielding asset [2]. Group 3: Geopolitical Factors - Ukrainian President Zelensky has stated that there will be no land concessions or painful compromises to end the war, which further supports demand for safe-haven metals like gold [3]. Group 4: Technical Analysis - Gold prices have been fluctuating within a familiar range, with a rebound from support levels indicating potential bullish momentum [5]. - A cautious approach is advised, suggesting to wait for gold to consistently hold above the resistance area of $4245-$4250 before taking long positions, with potential targets at $4277-$4300 [5]. - Conversely, if gold falls below the $4200 level, it may test support around $4170-$4165, and a clear break below this could lead to further declines towards $4115 [6].