菜篮子与金饰齐发力，11月CPI创近20个月新高

Group 1 - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) in November increased by 0.7% year-on-year, marking the highest level in 2023 and since March 2024 [1] - Urban CPI rose by 0.7%, while rural CPI increased by 0.4%. Food prices saw a 0.2% rise, and non-food prices increased by 0.8% [1] - The increase in CPI is attributed to seasonal price rebounds in food items, particularly fresh vegetables, which contributed significantly to the CPI's upward movement [2][4] Group 2 - Core CPI remains resilient despite a slight month-on-month decline of 0.1%, maintaining a year-on-year growth rate of 1.2% [2] - The rise in core CPI is supported by increasing gold prices and the effects of domestic demand expansion policies, which have led to price increases in household goods and clothing [2][4] - The potential for sustained improvement in CPI relies on continued policy support, particularly in stimulating consumption in sectors like dining and tourism [4] Group 3 - The Asian economy is expected to shift towards a more balanced and sustainable growth model by 2025, with inflation projected to decline significantly due to falling food prices [3] - A low inflation environment in 2026 may support a continued easing of monetary policy across several Asian countries, including China, which could create investment opportunities [3] - The main macroeconomic risk for Asia is not high inflation but the combination of deflationary pressures and high real policy rates, which could hinder economic recovery [3]